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Hype Cycle
What is a Hype Cycle?
A Hype Cycle is a graphic representation of the maturity, adoption
and business application of specific technologies.
What are the 5 phases of a Hype
Cycle?
1. "Technology Trigger"
The first phase of a Hype Cycle is the "technology trigger" or
breakthrough, product launch or other event that generates
significant press and interest.
2. "Peak of Inflated Expectations"
In the next phase, a frenzy of publicity typically generates
over-enthusiasm and unrealistic expectations. There may be some
successful applications of a technology, but there are typically
more failures.
3. "Trough of Disillusionment"
Technologies enter the "trough of disillusionment" because they fail
to meet expectations and quickly become unfashionable. Consequently,
the press usually abandons the topic and the technology.
4. "Slope of Enlightenment"
Although the press may have stopped covering the technology, some
businesses continue through the "slope of enlightenment" and
experiment to understand the benefits and practical application of
the technology.
5. "Plateau of Productivity"
A technology reaches the "plateau of productivity" as the benefits
of it become widely demonstrated and accepted. The technology
becomes increasingly stable and evolves in second and third
generations. The final height of the plateau varies according to
whether the technology is broadly applicable or benefits only a
niche market.
Position of
802.11 in Hype Cycle
Wi-Fi 802.11g
Position: Sliding
Into the Trough
Time to
Plateau/Adoption Speed: Less than two years.
Justification for
Hype Cycle Position/Adoption Speed: 802.11g will deliver additional
bandwidth to meet the needs of new applications.
Business Impact
Areas: Mobility and convenience, real-time collaboration and wire
line replacement.
Wi-Fi 802.11b
Position: Entering
the Plateau
Time to
Plateau/Adoption Speed: Less than two years.
Justification for
Hype Cycle Position/Adoption Speed: Deployment of Wi-Fi 802.11b
technology within
mainstream
enterprises is increasingly common.
Business Impact
Areas: Higher speed wireless data access for communications.
Wi-Fi 802.11a
Position: Climbing
the Slope
Time to
Plateau/Adoption Speed: Less than two years.
Justification for
Hype Cycle Position/Adoption Speed: 802.11a will deliver additional
bandwidth to meet the needs of new applications.
Business Impact
Areas: Mobility and convenience, real-time collaboration, and wire
line replacement.
Source:
Gartner Research; www.gartner .com
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