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Rateform

This system, which for convenience has been named 'rateform', has its origins in Professor Elo's book 'The Rating of Chessplayers', which in turn was adapted for soccer by Tony Drapkin and Richard Forsyth, and described within their excellent book 'The Punter's Revenge' ( Chapman and Hall ). As football matches are played over a season the points totals are updated for each team. Points totals carry forward from one season to the next. The fundamental features are ....

1. Each team has a points total which represents its current playing form.
2. The average number of points for individual teams remains constant at 1000.
3. For each match the home and away teams contribute points to a kitty.
4. The winning team takes the complete points kitty.
5. Teams which draw share the kitty.

In fact over the 1996-97 season the contribution of home and away team points to the kitty will be, respectively, 7% and 5% of their totals. So for each match played the points allocation is determined by the result. The team points totals are used as a guide to form. As before the home team points minus the away team points gives a 'points difference' which is used to rate forecasts.

This site uses the Rateform method for weekly predictions;
http://members.aol.com/mabstabs/matches/mmsite.htm. It also has a very comprehensive description of how rateform works.

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Statistics
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Rateform
A very complicated system of automated match selection.

E-mail me with any comments on the site.